Friday, May 3, 2013

2013 Summer Movie Season Preview



Well everyone, it’s that time of year again, my favorite time of year, The Summer Movie Season!  The 2013 offerings include a number of gambles, but moviegoers are in for some big surprises.  Here is a small preview of what we have to look forward to and my prediction for top movie of the summer.  Granted, this breakdown doesn’t include all of the 109 new films hitting between now and August, but I’ve covered the favorites and I’m largely judging on pre-season exposure, perceived quality, and box-office potential.

May:

The Powerhouse Sequels

Iron Man 3 (May 3rd)

Star Trek Into Darkness (May 17th)

The Hangover Part III (May 24th)

Fast & Furious 6 (May 24th)

:  Following the success of The Avengers, it is absolutely no surprise that Iron Man 3 is the most anticipated film of the Summer, and as the first entry in Marvel’s Phase Two, fans cannot wait to see Robert Downey, Jr. gear up with his new armors to take down Ben Kingsley.  Star Trek Into Darkness is currently enjoying a massive marketing effort and will benefit from positive reaction to its predecessor, while The Hangover Part III must overcome potential audience bias after Part II was widely reviled.  As for Fast & Furious 6, having already seen Vin Diesel and Dwayne Johnson team up, I know that audiences will love the fast-paced action and lose their minds after the post-credits scene.

The Standalone Potential Blockbusters

After Earth (May 31st)

Now You See Me (May 31st)

: After Earth may share some associations with Tom Cruise’s Oblivion, but in having Will and Jaden Smith team together, Columbia Pictures has a true heavyweight on its hands, even if it is directed by M. Night Shaymalan.  However, in terms of sheer potential, I cannot wait for Now You See Me, a thriller-caper that includes everyone from Jesse Eisenberg and Mark Ruffalo to Morgan Freeman and Michael Caine.  It’s like The Prestige meets Ocean’s Eleven, so with some truly original storytelling and sharp direction by Louis Leterrier, Now You See Me can end up becoming the biggest pleasant surprise of the summer.

The Crowd-Pleasing Comedies

Peeples (May 10th)

:  It may not be the highest-profile comedy of the Summer, but after three years of analyzing the box office, I have learned to never ever underestimate the draw of a Tyler Perry comedy.  Based on early previews, Craig Robinson and David Alan Grier look absolutely hysterical together, and as the only true comedy throughout May, it is likely that Peeples will have a considerable impact.

The Question Marks

The Great Gatsby (May 10th)

:  It seemed like a perfect fit for its originally-slated Holiday 2012 release, but in being delayed to one of the first entries of The Summer Movie Season, not even stylish previews and the draw of Leonardo DiCaprio can keep The Great Gatsby from feeling out of place.  I, along with countless others, read the classic book when I was in high school, and I am curious to see the big-budget adaptation, but I’m not sure that audiences will respond to a slow-paced drama during the notoriously lighthearted May schedule.   

The Animated and Family-Friendlies:

Epic (May 24th)

:  As the first entry of a remarkably-stacked animated release schedule, Epic may not have the backing of Pixar or the expectations of a sequel, but 20th Century Fox has been executing a clever marketing campaign that is building massive buzz for its newest family entry.  Beyond drawing obvious associations to the classic FernGully, promotions for Epic have been leveraging the all-star voice cast which includes Amanda Seyfried, Aziz Ansari, Christoph Waltz, and Beyoncé Knowles…I’ve been championing that marketing tactic for years, so hopefully it pays off in a big way.   

June:

The Standalone Potential Blockbusters

The Purge (June 7th)

Man of Steel (June 14th)

:  Despite a relatively secretive marketing campaign and significant controversy over some of the casting decisions, in the hands of Zack Snyder and Christopher Nolan, geek anticipation for Man of Steel is through the roof, with many expecting the true blue superhero to launch DC’s shared cinematic universe and finally start a competition with Marvel.  Now that Iron Man 3 has officially released, marketing tactics for WB’s powerhouse can shift into overdrive and start disassociating form 2006’s disappointing Superman Returns, thereby paving the way for one of the strongest performances of the summer.  Aside from the superhero genre, another thriller is flying-in under the radar to make an impact on the June market, as The Purge features Ethan Hawke participating in an exciting horror premise in which peaceful society is shattered when all crime is declared legal for a period of 12 hours…color me intrigued.

The Crowd-Pleasing Comedies

The Internship (June 7th)

This is the End (June 12th)

The Heat (June 28th)

:  June is definitely the summer month for laughs, with buddy comedies featuring not only a Wedding Crashers reunion in the form of Owen Wilson and Vince Vaughn’s The Internship, but also pairing audience favorites like Melissa McCarthy and Sandra Bullock together in The Heat.  However, the biggest expectations have to lie with This is the End, an apocalyptic comedy featuring nearly every young comedic actor in Hollywood portraying exaggerated versions of themselves.  If you don’t laugh at the trailer featuring Seth Rogen and Danny McBride reacting to being robbed by Emma Watson, then I’m afraid that you may have been born without a sense of humor. 

The Question Marks

World War Z (June 21st)

White House Down (June 28th)

:  White House Down is essentially a carbon copy of March’s Olympus Has Fallen, so some audience fatigue will unquestionably weaken the draw of Channing Tatum and Jamie Foxx’s action-thriller, but I’m still not sure how I should react to World War Z.  I adore the horror novel that serves as the source material for Brad Pitt’s newest project, but development of the film was plagued with delays and re-writes, while early trailers make almost no effort to reveal that zombies are at the center of the portrayed conflict.  The zombie genre is currently enjoying an insanely high level of popularity, but with limited accessibility for a book-to-screen translation and laughably-bad special effects detailing the undead; World War Z may finally end up souring the public on flesh-eaters.
 
The Animated and Family-Friendlies:

Monsters University (June 21st)

:  There may be a hell of a lot of competition on the animated landscape this summer, but Pixar is the early favorite with the highly-anticipated sequel to one of its most successful and revered properties.  John Goodman and Billy Crystal are returning at everyone’s favorite monsters, and if the early trailers depicting Mike and Sully in college weren’t enough to grab your attention, the later promotions modeled after standard university commercials were nothing short of brilliant, so kids and parents alike have to be thrilled.

July:

The Powerhouse Sequels

Grown Ups 2 (July 12th)

Red 2 (July 19th)

The Wolverine (July 26th)

: It may be a bit of a stretch to label Grown Ups 2 as a “powerhouse,” but the original ensemble comedy was just charming enough to disguise the fact that Adam Sandler’s career is on life support, so maybe the sequel is a necessary evil to drive the final nail in the coffin.  Now, Red 2 is an entirely different story, as I loved the original and am truly amped that Catherine Zeta-Jones and Anthony Hopkins will be joining Willis, Malkovich, and Mirren as aged, ass-kicking assassins.  And even though it isn’t necessarily a sequel in its purest form, The Wolverine has to be the biggest buzz-builder of July, sending Hugh Jackman all the way to Japan in an attempt to distance itself as far as possible from the steaming pile that was X-Men Origins.

The Standalone Potential Blockbusters

Pacific Rim (July 12th)

The Conjuring (July 19th)

:  Offering yet another thoroughly creepy look at a haunting within a New England, there is little doubt that The Conjuring will find a definitive audience looking for a few chills and thrills in the middle of summer with the help of Vera Farminga and Patrick Wilson.  As for Pacific Rim, the trailers look absolutely brilliant, with Guillermo del Toro working alongside Idris Elba to form a hybrid of Avatar and Transformers that will demand IMAX 3D screenings.  Very few details of the plot have been released, but the Warner Bros. science fiction film has all the makings of a classic, having giant monsters battle giant robots in what looks like an updated version of a fistfight between Godzilla and The MegaZord...that set-up is almost too awesome for words.

The Question Marks

The Lone Ranger (July 3rd)

R.I.P.D. (July 19th)

:  I love both Ryan Reynolds and Jeff Bridges, but R.I.P.D. looks like nothing more than a bastardized version of Men in Black that is futilely trying to capture some of the charm that was showcased in Ghostbusters; needless to say, I will be shocked if the sci-fi action-comedy actually ends up being a decent film.  And with easily one of the shakiest development periods in recent memory, one which included many over-budget delays and rewrites that once included werewolves, The Lone Ranger has a hell of a lot to prove.  It may come from the same minds that brought together the Pirates of the Caribbean franchise and include Johnny Depp in his best type of role, but there is no middle ground here, so be prepared for a full-blown hit or total disaster.

The Animated and Family-Friendlies:

Despicable Me 2 (July 3rd)

Turbo (July 17th)

The Smurfs 2 (July 31st)

:  While I’m pretty sure that someone sold their soul to get The Smurfs 2 made, Despicable Me 2 has to be one of the most anticipated animated sequels of all time, because absolutely everyone loved the gibberish-spouting Minions once they first appeared and left an indelible impact on pop culture.  If DreamWorks wants to have a chance of competing with its newest entry, Turbo, they had better start promoting the hell out of the racing snail and leveraging the star-studded cast that includes Ryan Reynolds, Paul Giamatti, Samuel L. Jackson, and Snoop Dogg/Lion.

August:

The Powerhouse Sequels

Percy Jackson: Sea of Monsters (August 9th)

Kick-Ass 2 (August 16th)

:  Being a full-fledged comic book geek, I am understandably thrilled for Kick-Ass 2, the irreverent action comedy that will have Chloë Grace Moretz returning as the foul-mouthed badass Hit Girl and will suit up Jim Carrey as the thoroughly demented Colonel Stars and Stripes…never has the combination of gore and sarcasm been so well-received by the teenage demographic.  And because it played so strongly off of my inherent love for Greek Mythology, I adored 2010’s The Lightning Thief, so I cannot wait for Logan Lerman and Brandon T. Jackson to return with Sea of Monsters.

The Standalone Potential Blockbusters

2 Guns (August 2nd)

Elysium (August 9th)

Paranoia (August 16th)

You’re Next (August 23rd)

: Now that we are venturing deeper into August, it is a little difficult to get finer details on some of the lesser known upcoming releases, but the pairing of Denzel Washington and Mark Wahlberg should be enough to peak interest for 2 Guns, while Paranoia and You’re Next will appeal to the horror and thriller crowds.  Perhaps the biggest August buzz builder is Elysium, a science fiction drama that will pit Matt Damon and Jodie Foster against each other in a dystopian future.  Neil Blomkamp and Sharlto Copley wowed audiences with 2009’s District 9, so their involvement with a project benefiting from Matt Damon’s star power has to be a good sign.

The Crowd-Pleasing Comedies

We’re the Millers (August 9th)

The To Do List (August 16th)

The World’s End (August 23rd)

:  The World’s End will reunite Simon Pegg and Nick Frost (a definitive plus), while The To Do List represents a delayed red band comedy that features Christopher Mintz-Plasse and Aubrey Plaza, but the biggest expectations have to lie with We’re the Millers.  Boasting the premise of an amateur pot-dealer hiring a fake family to transport a huge shipment of weed, We’re the Millers should benefit greatly from a cast that includes Jennifer Aniston, Jason Sudeikis, and Ed Helms…prepare for big laughs.

The Question Marks

300: Rise of An Empire (August 2nd)

Grandmasters (August 23rd)

The Mortal Instruments: City of Bones (August 23rd)

:  City of Bones is an adaptation of an adventure fantasy book series by Cassandra Clare, and Grandmasters is a stylish foreign martial arts epic from the Weinstein Company, so both have a potential audience, but 300: Rise of An Empire could turn into a massive disaster.  Trying to act as a prequel to the insanely successful 2007 action spectacular, 300, Rise of the Empire features none of the original cast aside from King Xerxes (Rodrigo Santoro), and with no indicator of similar levels of battle, the odds are pretty thin that lightning will strike the same place twice.

The Animated and Family-Friendlies:

Planes (August 9th)

:  In an attempt to distinguish itself from Pixar, DisneyToon Studios is releasing a spin-off of the Cars franchise in the first entry of a planned trilogy that was initially relegated to direct-to-video status.  Given the fact that Cars is perhaps the weakest Disney/Pixar property, Planes seems like nothing more than an attempt to cash-in on audience familiarity by exploiting younger viewers, and with Dane Cook as the leading character, a positive reception isn’t very likely. 

The Summer 2013 Winner

Iron Man 3 (May 3rd)

Runner-Up: Man of Steel (June 14th)

:  Tony Stark is the unrivaled poster boy of the insanely successful Marvel Cinematic Universe, and because it is perceived as more of a follow-up to The Avengers as opposed to a sequel to Iron Man 2, the third entry in the comic book trilogy is set to strike the box office like a warhead.  Already earning $345 million overseas before its U.S. release, Iron Man 3 is tracking to be one of the strongest openings ever, thereby paving the way for a financial haul that is unlikely to be matched.  Star Trek Into Darkness will have impressive numbers, but the only entity to truly challenge the billionaire playboy philanthropist this summer is The Last Son of Krypton.  Superman has an insanely popular international presence, but because Warner Bros. has been so tight-lipped regarding the plot elements of Man of Steel, overall anticipation for the DC property has yet to match the levels generated by Marvel.  Marketing tactics are sure to skyrocket as the June release comes closer, but it may be too little, too late, especially since so many moviegoers felt let down by Superman Returns.

So, that’s it, the 2013 Summer Movie Season broken down with my early reactions and box-office predictions.  Given my work schedule, there might be a gap in my reviews, but keep checking back and please keep reading!  Your continued support means a lot, so please enjoy all that the theater has to offer!